Foreword by James R. Miller ................................. xi
Preface ................................................... xiii
1 Introduction ................................................. 1
The gateway into science ..................................... 2
A controversial idea ......................................... 5
The AAAS position on method .................................. 6
Science as a liberal art ..................................... 7
Benefits and challenges ..................................... 10
Personal experience ......................................... 12
Seven streams ............................................... 15
Historical and future outlook ............................... 17
Summary ..................................................... 18
Study questions ............................................. 19
2 Four bold claims ............................................ 21
Rationality ................................................. 21
Truth ....................................................... 23
Objectivity ................................................. 26
Realism ..................................................... 28
Science and common sense .................................... 29
Summary ..................................................... 32
Study questions ............................................. 33
3 A brief history of truth .................................... 34
The most elemental question ................................. 34
Aristotle ................................................... 36
Augustine ................................................... 38
Medieval scholars ........................................... 39
Modern scholars ............................................. 42
Water ....................................................... 49
Summary ..................................................... 51
Study questions ............................................. 51
4 Science's contested rationality ............................. 53
Science's auditors .......................................... 54
Elusive truth ............................................... 56
Theory-laden data ........................................... 57
Incommensurable paradigms ................................... 58
Empty consensus ............................................. 60
Reactions from scientists ................................... 61
The AAAS posture ............................................ 66
Clear targets ............................................... 69
Summary ..................................................... 71
Study questions ............................................. 72
5 Science's presuppositions ................................... 73
Historical perspective on presuppositions ................... 74
The PEL model of full disclosure ............................ 78
Implementation of presuppositions ........................... 84
Science's worldview forum ................................... 89
Justification of knowledge claims ........................... 91
Review of functions ......................................... 93
Summary ..................................................... 94
Study questions ............................................. 95
6 Science's powers and limits ................................. 96
' Rather obvious limitations ................................ 96
The sciences and worldviews ................................. 97
Empirical method in the humanities ......................... 100
Individual experience and worldviews ....................... 105
Logical roles and diagnoses ................................ 107
Review of boundaries ....................................... 108
Personal rewards from science .............................. 108
Summary .................................................... 110
Study questions ............................................ 110
7 Deductive logic ............................................ 112
Deduction and induction .................................... 113
Historical perspective on deduction ........................ 115
Propositional logic ........................................ 118
Predicate logic ............................................ 121
Arithmetic ................................................. 121
Common fallacies ........................................... 123
Summary .................................................... 129
Study questions ............................................ 130
8 Probability ................................................ 131
Probability concepts ....................................... 132
Four requirements .......................................... 134
Probability axioms ......................................... 136
Bayes's theorem ............................................ 138
Probability distributions .................................. 142
Permutations and combinations .............................. 143
Probability fallacies ...................................... 144
Summary .................................................... 147
Study questions ............................................ 148
9 Inductive logic and statistics ............................. 150
Historical perspective on induction ........................ 150
Bayesian inference ......................................... 154
Frequentist inference ...................................... 160
Bayesian decision .......................................... 164
Induction lost and regained ................................ 168
Summary .................................................... 171
Study questions ............................................ 172
10 Parsimony and efficiency ................................... 174
Historical perspective on parsimony ........................ 175
Preview of basic principles ................................ 178
Curve fitting .............................................. 183
Crop yields ................................................ 187
Crime rates ................................................ 189
Explanation of accuracy gain ............................... 191
Philosophical reflection ................................... 193
Summary .................................................... 196
Study questions ............................................ 197
11 Case studies ............................................... 199
Philosophy ................................................. 199
Electronic engineering ..................................... 200
Biochemistry and pharmacology .............................. 202
Medicine ................................................... 207
Sociology .................................................. 209
Economics .................................................. 212
Law ........................................................ 213
Discussion ................................................. 217
Study questions ............................................ 218
12 Ethics and responsibilities ................................ 220
Philosophical ethics ....................................... 220
Professional ethics ........................................ 224
Discussion ................................................. 232
Study questions ............................................ 233
13 Science education .......................................... 234
Typical NOS concepts ....................................... 234
Better comprehension ....................................... 238
Greater adaptability ....................................... 240
Greater interest ........................................... 242
More realism ............................................... 244
Better researchers ......................................... 247
Better teachers ............................................ 249
Academic NOS concepts ...................................... 250
Summary .................................................... 254
Study questions ............................................ 256
14 Conclusions ................................................ 257
Motion and rationality ..................................... 257
Summary of scientific method ............................... 267
Exit questions ............................................. 270
References ................................................. 272
Index ...................................................... 285
|