Introduction .................................................... 1
Part One: Newcomb's Problem
1. Counterfactuals and Newcomb's Problem ....................... 11
2 Newcomb's Problem: A Stalemate ............................ 35
3 Newcomb's Problem Revisited ............................... 46
Part Two: The Monty Hall Problem
4 Let's Make a Deal ......................................... 63
Part Three: The Two Envelope Paradox
5 The Two-Envelope Paradox, Nonstandard Expected
Utility, and the intensionality of Probability ............ 77
6 The Two-Envelope Paradox and the Foundations of
Rational Decision Theory (Abridged) ...................... 104
Part Four: The Sorites Paradox
7 Robust Vagueness and the Forced-March Sorites Paradox .... 119
8 Transvaluationism: A Dionysian Approach to Vagueness ..... 151
9 Transvaluationism about Vagueness: A Progress Report ..... 179
Part Five: The Sleeping Beauty Problem
10 Sleeping Beauty Awakened: New Odds at the Dawn of the
New Day .................................................. 209
11 Synchronic Bayesian Updating and the Sleeping Beauty
Problem: Reply to Pust ................................... 220
12 The Exchange Continued: Response to Fust's Response to
My Reply ................................................. 226
13 Generalized Conditionalization and the Sleeping Beauty
Problem, II .............................................. 247
Part Six: Epistemic Probability 14. Epistemic Probability ..... 281
Index ......................................................... 319
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