Figures vu Tables .............................................. ix
Preface ........................................................ xi
1 Introduction: The Odd Twins of Uncertainty ................... 1
2 Framing the Divide .......................................... 11
3 What Is Analysis? Roads Not Taken ........................... 32
4 Intelligence Challenges in Scientific Research .............. 55
5 Exploring Other Domains ..................................... 80
6 Common Core Issues: Intelligence Analysis, Medicine, and
Policy Analysis ............................................ 110
7 Challenges for Intelligence ................................ 136
8 Politicization: Disseminating and Distorting Knowledge ..... 158
9 Beyond the Divide: Framing and Assessing Risks under
Prevailing Uncertainty ..................................... 183
Bibliography .................................................. 199
Index ......................................................... 213
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