List of Figures, Tables, and Text Boxes ........................ ix
Preface ........................................................ xi
1 CHANGE-MAJOR TO MINOR ........................................ 1
Fundamental Change ........................................... 3
Some Important Trends ........................................ 6
Creating the Library Compass ................................ 12
Concluding Thoughts ......................................... 14
2 BUILDING A PATH TO THE FUTURE ............................... 17
Environmental Scanning Reports .............................. 21
Concluding Thoughts ......................................... 36
3 TRANSFORMING THE FUTURE ..................................... 39
Impetus ..................................................... 40
Identifying Trends .......................................... 41
Building Scenarios .......................................... 43
Transformation .............................................. 46
Concluding Thoughts ......................................... 49
4 RELATED LITERATURE .......................................... 51
Scenario Planning ........................................... 52
Some Key Writings ........................................... 54
Use of Scenarios in General ................................. 56
Writings Relevant to Academic Libraries ..................... 57
Writings Relevant to Public Libraries ....................... 61
Concluding Thoughts ......................................... 72
5 FUTURE VIEWS OF ACADEMIC LIBRARIES .......................... 79
Higher Education ............................................ 81
Trends in Academic Libraries ................................ 84
Concluding Thoughts ......................................... 99
6 PERSPECTIVES ON TRENDS AND SCENARIOS: ACADEMIC LIBRARIES ... 105
Scholarly Communication and Liberal Arts College
Libraries / by Richard Fyffe ............................... 106
Scholarly Communication and the Role of the Liberal Arts
College Library / by Diane J. Graves ....................... 114
Toward Building an Embedded Academic Lilrary:
The Case of Shaping Drexel University Libraries
Spaces / by Danuta A. Nitecki .............................. 120
Revisiting the Scenarios through Space
Planning / by Robert E. Dugan .............................. 125
Concluding Thoughts ........................................ 136
7 FUTURE VIEWS OF PUBLIC LIBRARIES ........................... 141
Public Library Association Planning Process ................ 142
Scenarios and Public Libraries ............................. 144
Out-of-the-Box Thinking .................................... 151
Concluding Thoughts ........................................ 153
8 PERSPECTIVES ON TRENDS AND SCENARIOS: PUBLIC LIBRARIES ..... 157
Scenario One: The "Status Quo" Library ..................... 161
Scenario Two: The Community "Living Room" .................. 163
Scenario Three: The "Electronic" Library ................... 164
Scenario Four: The "Happening Place" Library ............... 165
Comments on the Scenarios .................................. 167
Concluding Thoughts ........................................ 176
9 PREPARING FOR THE FUTURE: SOME FINAL THOUGHTS .............. 179
Leadership ................................................. 181
Staff Abilities for the Present and Future ................. 182
Currents in Scenario Development ........................... 183
Privatizing Libraries ...................................... 185
Libraries Merely Trying to Keep Up ......................... 186
Revisiting Space Planning .................................. 187
Issues of Importance to the Broader Organization ........... 188
Concept of Scenarios Revisited ............................. 196
Concluding Thoughts ........................................ 197
Appendix A
The Use of Scenarios in the Pierce County Library System /
by Neel Parikh ............................................. 203
Appendix B
The Anythink Revolution / by Pam Sandlian-Smith ............ 211
About the Authors .......................................... 221
Index ...................................................... 225
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