Author Bios .................................................... ix
Acronyms ..................................................... xiii
Acknowledgements ............................................... xv
PART I. INTRODUCTION
1 Energy Technology Innovation ................................. 3
Charlie Wilson and Arnulf Grubler
2 The Energy Technology Innovation System ..................... 11
Charlie Wilson and Arnulf Grubler
3 Historical Case Studies of Energy Technology Innovation ..... 30
Arnulf Grubler and Charlie Wilson
PART II. PATTERNS AND LINKAGES IN THE ENERGY TECHNOLOGY
INNOVATION SYSTEM
4 Grand Designs: Historical Patterns and Future Scenarios of
Energy Technological Change ................................. 39
Arnulf Grubler
5 Historical Diffusion and Growth of Energy Technologies ...... 54
Charlie Wilson
6 Input, Output, and Outcome Metrics for Assessing Energy
Technology Innovation ....................................... 75
Charlie Wilson
7 Technology Portfolios: Modelling Technological Uncertainty
and Innovation Risks ........................................ 89
Arnulf Grubler, Sabine Fuss, with contributions from David
McCollum, Volker Krey, and Keywan Riahi
PART III. KNOWLEDGE IN THE ENERGY TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION SYSTEM
8 Solar Water Heater Innovation in the United States, China,
and Europe ................................................. 105
Gregory F. Nemet
9 Heat Pumps: A Comparative Assessment of Innovation and
Diffusion Policies in Sweden and Switzerland ............... 118
Bernadett Kiss, Lena Neij, and Martin Jakob
10 Sources and Consequences of Knowledge Depreciation ......... 133
Arnulf Grubler and Gregory F. Nemet
11 The French Pressurised Water Reactor Programme ............. 146
Arnulf Grubler
PART IV. ADOPTION AND USE IN THE ENERGY TECHNOLOGY
INNOVATION SYSTEM
12 Technological Improvements in Solar Thermal Electricity
in the United States and the Role of Public Policy ......... 165
Gregory F. Nemet
13 Automobile Fuel Efficiency Standards ....................... 178
Gregory F. Nemet
14 Hybrid Cars: Development and Deployment in Japan, the
United States, and China ................................... 193
Kelly Sims Gallagher
15 Solar Photovoltaics: Multiple Drivers of Technological
Improvement ................................................ 206
Gregory F. Nemet
PART V. ACTORS AND INSTITUTIONS IN THE ENERGY TECHNOLOGY
SYSTEM
16 A Comparative Assessment of Wind Turbine Innovation and
Diffusion Policies ......................................... 221
Lena Neij and Per Dannemand Andersen
17 The Role of Standards: The Japanese Top Runner Programme
for End-Use Efficiency ..................................... 231
Osamu Kimura
18 Solar Innovation and Market Feedback: Solar Photovoltaics
in Rural Kenya ............................................. 244
Daniel M. Kammen and Arne Jacobson
19 The U.S. Synthetic Fuels Corporation: Policy Consistency,
Flexibility, and the Long-Term Consequences of Perceived
Failures ................................................... 257
Laura Díaz Anadón and Gregory F. Nemet
PART VI. RESOURCES IN THE ENERGY TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION
SYSTEM
20 Brazilian Ethanol: Unpacking a Success Story of Energy
Technology Innovation ...................................... 275
Dustin Meyer, Lynn Mytelka, Rich Press, Evandro Lu&ioacute;z
Dall' Oglio, Paulo Teixeira de Sousa Jr., and Arnulf
Grubler
21 Global R&D, Market Formation, and Diffusion Investments
in Energy Technology Innovation ............................ 292
Arnulf Grubler, Laura Díaz Anadón, Kelly Sims Gallagher,
Ruud Kempener, Anastasia O'Rourke, and Charlie Wilson
22 Energy RD&D Investments in the Major Emerging Economies
and the United States ...................................... 309
Ruud Kempener, Laura Díaz Anadón, Kelly Sims Gallagher,
and Kejun Jiang
23 A Comparative Analysis of Annual Market Investments in
Energy Supply and End-Use Technologies ..................... 332
Charlie Wilson and Arnulf Grubler
PART VII. CONCLUSIONS
24 Lessons Learnt from the Energy Technology Innovation
System ..................................................... 349
Charlie Wilson and Arnulf Grubler
25 Policies for Energy Technology Innovation .................. 371
Arnulf Grubler and Charlie Wilson
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