Preface ........................................................ xi
List of Contributors .......................................... xix
PART 1 OVERVIEWS
Chapter 1 The Interaction of Climate and Society ............... 3
Robert W. Kates
Chapter 2 Climatic Variability and Change ..................... 37
F. Kenneth Hare
Chapter 3 Research in Climate-Society Interaction ............. 69
William E. Riebsame
Chapter 4 Identifying Climate Sensitivity ..................... 85
W.J. Maunder and J.H. Ausubel
PART II BIOPHYSICAL IMPACTS
Chapter 5 Agriculture ........................................ 105
Henry A. Nix
Chapter 6 Fisheries .......................................... 131
Tsuyoshi Kawasaki
Chapter 7 Pastoralism ........................................ 155
Henri N. Le Houérou
Chapter 8 Water Resources .................................... 187
Béla Nováky, Csaba Pachner, Károly Szesztay and
David Miller
Chapter 9 Energy Resources ................................... 215
Jill Jäger
PART III SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS AND ADJUSTMENTS
Chapter 10 Health, Nutrition, and Human Development ........... 251
José Carlos Escudero
Chapter 11 Analysis of Historical Climate-Society
Interaction ........................................ 273
Jan de Vries
Chapter 12 Microeconomic Analysis ............................. 293
C.A. Knox Lovell and V. Kerry Smith
Chapter 13 Social Analysis .................................... 323
Barbara Farhar-Pilgrim
Chapter 14 The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agricultural
Margins ............................................ 351
Martin L. Parry
Chapter 15 Extreme Event Analysis ............................. 369
R.L. Heathcote
Chapter 16 Perception ......................................... 403
Anne V.T. Whyte
Chapter 17 Adjustment in Self-provisioning Societies .......... 437
N.S. Jodha and A.C. Mascarenhas
PART IV INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
Chapter 18 Global Modeling and Simulations .................... 469
Jennifer Robinson
Chapter 19 Biosphere Models ................................... 493
N.N. Moisseiev, Yu.M. Svirezhev, V.F. Krapivin
and A.M. Tarkо
Chapter 20 Scenario Analysis .................................. 511
Lester B. Lave and Dennis Epple
Chapter 21 Historical Climate Impact Assessments .............. 529
Т.M.L. Wigley, N.J. Huckstep, A.E.J. Ogilvie,
G. Farmer, R. Mortimer and M. J. Ingram
Chapter 22 Recent Assessments ................................. 565
Michael H. Glantz, Jennifer Robinson and Maria
E. Krenz
Author Index .................................................. 599
Subject Index ................................................. 615
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