1 Overview and Conclusions ...................................... 1
PART ONE: THE APPROACH
2 The Nature and Behavior of Ecological Systems ............... 25
3 Steps in the Process ........................................ 38
4 Orchestrating the Assessment ................................ 47
5 Choosing a Technique ........................................ 57
6 Simplification for Understanding ............................ 81
7 Model Invalidation and Belief ............................... 95
8 Evaluation of Alternative Policies ......................... 107
9 Communication .............................................. 120
10 AnUnderview ................................................ 132
PART TWO: CASE STUDIES
11 The Spruce-Budworm/Forest-Management Problem ............... 143
12 Pacific Salmon Management .................................. 183
13 Obergurgl: Development in High Mountain Regions of
Austria .................................................... 215
14 An Analysis of Regional Development in Venezuela ........... 243
15 A Wildlife Impact Information System ....................... 279
APPENDIXES
A Assessment Techniques ....................................... 301
В Participants in Workshop on Adaptive Assessment of
Ecological Policies ......................................... 353
References .................................................... 357
Index ......................................................... 365
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