List of Contributors ........................................... ix
Preface ........................................................ xi
Part I Longitudinal Research Design ............................ 1
1 Introduction: Longitudinal research design and analysis ...... 3
Scott Menard
2 Using national census data to study change .................. 13
Margo Anderson
3 Repeated cross-sectional research: the general social
surveys ..................................................... 33
Tom W. Smith
4 Structuring the National Crime Victim Survey for use in
longitudinal analysis ....................................... 49
Lawrence Hotchkiss and Ronet Bachman
5 The Millennium Cohort Study and mature national birth
cohorts in Britain .......................................... 67
Heather E. Joshi
6 Retrospective longitudinal research: the German Life
History Study ............................................... 85
Karl Ulrich Mayer
Part II Measurement Issues in Longitudinal Research .......... 107
7 Respondent recall .......................................... 109
Jennifer K. Grotpeter
8 A review and summary of studies on panel conditioning ...... 123
David Cantor
9 Reliability issues in longitudinal research ................ 139
Toon W. Taris
10 Orderly change in a stable world: The antisocial trait as
a chimera .................................................. 153
Gerald R. Patterson
11 Minimizing panel attrition ................................. 167
Heather Laurie
12 Nonignorable nonresponse in longitudinal studies ........... 185
E. Michael Foster and Anna Krivelyova
Part III Descriptive and Causal Analysis in Longitudinal
Research ...................................................... 197
13 Graphical techniques for exploratory and confirmatory
analyses of longitudinal data .............................. 199
Garrett M. Fitzmaurice
14 Separating age, period, and cohort effects in
developmental and historical research ...................... 219
Scott Menard
15 An introduction to pooling cross-sectional and time series
data ....................................................... 233
John L. Worrall
16 Dynamic models and cross-sectional data: the consequences
of dynamic misspecification ................................ 249
Ronald Schoenberg
17 Causal analysis with nonexperimental panel data ............ 259
David F. Greenberg
18 Causal inference in longitudinal experimental research ..... 279
Jos W.R. Twisk
Part IV Description and Measurement of Qualitative Change ..... 295
19 Analyzing longitudinal qualitative observational data ...... 297
Johnny Saldana
20 Configural frequency analysis of longitudinal data ......... 313
Alexander von Eye and Eun Young Mun
21 Analysis of longitudinal categorical data using optimal
scaling techniques ......................................... 333
Catrien C.J.H. Bijleveld
22 An introduction to latent class analysis ................... 357
C. Mitchell Dayton
23 Latent class models in longitudinal research ............... 373
Jeroen K. Vermunt, Вас Tran and Jay Magidson
Part V Timing of Qualitative Change: Event History Analysis .. 387
24 Nonparametric methods for event history data: descriptive
measures ................................................... 389
С.M. Suchindran
25 The Cox proportional hazards model, diagnostics, and
extensions ................................................. 405
Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier and Lyndsey Stanfill
26 Parametric event history analysis: an application to the
analysis of recidivism ..................................... 421
Hee-Jong Joo
27 Discrete-time survival analysis: predicting whether, and
if so when, an event occurs ................................ 441
Margaret K. Keiley, Nina C. Martin, Janet Canino,
Judith D. Singer and John B. Willett
Part VI Panel Analysis, Structural Equation Models, and
Multilevel Models ............................................. 465
28 Generalized estimating equations for longitudinal panel
analysis ................................................... 467
Joseph M. Hilbe and James W. Hardin
29 Linear panel analysis ...................................... 475
Steven E. Finkel
30 Panel analysis with logistic regression .................... 505
Scott Menard
31 Latent growth curve models ................................. 523
Michael Stoolmiller
32 Multilevel growth curve analysis for quantitative
outcomes ................................................... 545
Douglas A. Luke
33 Multilevel analysis with categorical outcomes .............. 565
Scott Menard
Part VII Time Series Analysis and Deterministic Dynamic
Models ........................................................ 577
34 A brief introduction to time series analysis ............... 579
Scott Menard
35 Spectral analysis .......................................... 601
William W.S. Wei
36 Time-series techniques for repeated cross-section data ..... 621
David Sanders and Hugh Ward
37 Differential equation models for longitudinal data ......... 639
Steven M. Boker
38 Nonlinear dynamics, chaos, and catastrophe theory
Courtney Brown ............................................. 653
Index ......................................................... 665
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