Stochastic physics and climate modelling / ed. by T.Palmer, P.Williams. - Cambridge; New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010. - xv, 480 p.: ill. - Originating from a theme issue published in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society A: mathematical, physical & engineering sciences. - Incl. bibl. ref. - Ind.: p.464-480. - ISBN 978-0-521-76105-5  Место хранения:   066 | Институт мониторинга климатических и экологических систем CO РАН | Томск | Библиотека

Оглавление / Contents

List of contributors ....................................... vii Preface ..................................................... xi 1 Mechanisms of climate variability from years to decades ...... 1 Geoffrey K. Vallis 2 Empirical model reduction and the modelling hierarchy in climate dynamics and the geosciences ........................ 35 Sergey Kravtsov, Dmitri Kondrashov and Michael Ghil 3 An applied mathematics perspective on stochastic modelling for climate ................................................. 73 Andrew J. Majda, Christian Franzke and Boualem Khouider 4 Predictability in nonlinear dynamical systems with model uncertainty .......................................... 105 Jinqiao Duan 5 On modelling physical systems with stochastic models: diffusion versus Lévy processes ............................ 133 Cécile Penland and Brian D. Ewald 6 First passage time analysis for climate prediction ......... 157 Peter C. Chu 7 Effects of stochastic parameterisation on conceptual climate models ............................................. 191 Daniel S. Wilks 8 Challenges in stochastic modelling of quasi-geostrophic turbulence ................................................. 207 Timothy DelSole 9 Stochastic versus deterministic backscatter of potential enstrophy in geostrophic turbulence ........................ 231 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga 10 Stochastic theories for the irregularity of ENSO ........... 248 Richard Kleeman 11 Stochastic models of the meridional overturning circulation: time scales and patterns of variability ....... 266 Adam H. Monahan, Julie Alexander and Andrew J. Weaver 12 The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: a stochastic dynamical systems view ..................................... 287 Leela M. Frankcombe, Henk A. Dijkstra and Anna S. von der Heydt 13 Centennial-to-millennial-scale Holocene climate variability in the North Atlantic region induced by noise ...................................................... 307 Matthias Prange, Jochem I. Jongma and Michael Schulz 14 Cloud-radiation interactions and their uncertainty in climate models ............................................. 327 Adrian M. Tompkins and Francesca Di Giuseppe 15 Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model ................. 375 Judith Berner, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Tim N. Palmer, Glenn J. Shutts and Antje Weisheimer 16 Rethinking convective quasi-equilibrium: observational constraints for stochastic convective schemes in climate models ..................................................... 396 J. David Neelin, Ole Peters, Johnny W.-B. Lin, Katrina Hales and Christopher E. Holloway 17 Comparison of stochastic parameterisation approaches in a single-column model ...................................... 424 Michael A. Ball and Robert S. Plant 18 Stochastic parameterisation of multiscale processes using techniques from computer game physics ...................... 446 Thomas Allen, Glenn J. Shutts and Christopher J. Smith Index ...................................................... 464